LABOUR is on course to beat the Conservative Party and win the Barrow and Furness seat at the next general election, a major new poll has predicted.

The YouGov survey forecasts that the Labour candidate for Barrow and Furness Michelle Scrogham would receive 45 per cent of votes while current Conservative MP Simon Fell would get 32 per cent.

The poll predicts in Barrow and Furness Reform UK would get 10 per cent of the vote and both the Liberal Democrats and the Green Party would receive six per cent of the ballot.

Mr Fell said: “My job is to represent the people of Furness as best as I can for as long as I have this wonderful job, something I love doing and I’ve had a few successes with, raising the area’s profile, securing over £120 million in funding for projects across the community, and securing Furness’ future.

“A poll represents a snapshot in time, and I’ll keep working to deliver for my constituents until the poll that matters takes place – a general election – where I’m more than happy to fight on my record and vision for Furness.”

In 2019 the Conservatives won 51.9 per cent of the votes in Barrow and Furness with Labour receiving 39.3 per cent of the vote.

In Cumbria, the poll suggests Labour would comfortably win the new Whitehaven and Workington constituency by almost 20 percentage points, and the party would win both the Carlisle and Penrith and the Solway constituencies with 39 per cent of the vote – giving the party a clear majority in the county.

The only seat not predicted to be won by Labour is the Westmorland and Lonsdale constituency - a Liberal Democrat stronghold where former party leader Tim Farron is the MP.

The national survey, which used data from 14,110 respondents between December 12 and January 4, predicts the Labour Party will win 385 seats in the Houses of Commons, securing a 120-seat majority.

The poll predicts the Conservative Party will lose 196 seats and win 169 seats in total.

The Liberal Democrats are predicted to win 48 seats, the SNP 25 seats, Plaid Cymru three seats, Greens one seat and Reform UK zero seats according to the poll.